Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.008039 0.009493 0.011246 0.013550 0.016553 0.020414 0.025892
2025-03-30 0.005961 0.007583 0.009763 0.013017 0.017960 0.025591 0.039216
2025-04-06 0.004911 0.006550 0.008912 0.012757 0.019295 0.030969 0.056543
2025-04-13 0.004346 0.006020 0.008579 0.013068 0.021516 0.038893 0.086355
2025-04-20 0.004020 0.005763 0.008572 0.013862 0.024882 0.051254 0.145292
2025-04-27 0.003715 0.005476 0.008439 0.014369 0.027891 0.065294 0.244006
2025-05-04 0.003395 0.005109 0.008092 0.014352 0.029722 0.077961 0.387377
2025-05-11 0.003128 0.004795 0.007780 0.014319 0.031517 0.092678 0.643647
2025-05-18 0.002867 0.004455 0.007367 0.013960 0.032294 0.104847 1.025068
2025-05-25 0.002606 0.004089 0.006849 0.013249 0.031769 0.111178 1.469359
2025-06-01 0.002399 0.003800 0.006449 0.012735 0.031686 0.120183 2.316156
2025-06-08 0.002294 0.003688 0.006386 0.013032 0.034443 0.150189 6.782977
2025-06-15 0.002152 0.003506 0.006189 0.013041 0.036616 0.185652 36.992467
2025-06-22 0.001981 0.003257 0.005823 0.012534 0.036691 0.207934 397.276722
2025-06-29 0.001851 0.003073 0.005572 0.012287 0.037753 0.245483 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001773 0.002983 0.005516 0.012582 0.041461 0.334851 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001730 0.002959 0.005604 0.013335 0.048152 0.536856 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001674 0.002901 0.005602 0.013816 0.054090 0.840667 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001596 0.002790 0.005460 0.013800 0.057234 1.167298 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001524 0.002686 0.005323 0.013769 0.060404 1.663977 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001444 0.002559 0.005111 0.013429 0.061212 2.122753 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001355 0.002407 0.004824 0.012754 0.059073 2.271366 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001281 0.002283 0.004597 0.012266 0.058142 2.617088 NaN